Yesterday was a really exciting and breakthrough day for physics, as four major Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) experiments (NANOGrav, EPTA, PPTA, and CPTA) reported evidence for a stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) signal in the nHz range, for which one of the most likely explanations is that of merging supermassive black hole binaries. Today I posted a new single-author paper, where I examine whether the signal could instead have been produced during inflation. The answer is “potentially yes”, although the underlying inflationary model would have to be rather strange, requiring a very blue tilt (~1.8, not something you can get in single-field slow-roll inflation) and a very low reheating scale (at most ~10 GeV). As an aside, I’ve also explicitly written down a bivariate Gaussian approximation to the joint amplitude-tilt posterior for the NANOGrav results, which can come in handy if you want to perform a similar analysis for other models. You can read my results in the preprint I just posted on arXiv (the first since September 2022 - it’s obvious that teaching has come in between 😄): 2306.16912.
